Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and SPDR SP International, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of SPDR SP. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP

GrayscaleSPDRDiversified AwayGrayscaleSPDRDiversified Away100%
-0.28
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and SPDR is -0.28. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and SPDR SP International in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR SP International and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are associated (or correlated) with SPDR SP. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR SP International has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is expected to under-perform the SPDR SP. In addition to that, Grayscale Bitcoin is 3.06 times more volatile than SPDR SP International. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR SP International is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,042  in SPDR SP International on December 11, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  162.00  from holding SPDR SP International or generate 5.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust  vs.  SPDR SP International

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb 0102030
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GBTC GWX
       Timeline  
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar6570758085
SPDR SP International 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SPDR SP International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, SPDR SP is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar30.53131.53232.533

Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-5.11-3.83-2.54-1.26-0.01881.092.223.344.475.59 0.10.20.30.40.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GBTC GWX
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and SPDR SP positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, SPDR SP can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR SP will offset losses from the drop in SPDR SP's long position.
The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and SPDR SP International pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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