Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and iShares iBonds 2028, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of IShares IBonds. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and IShares is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and iShares iBonds 2028 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares iBonds 2028 and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are associated (or correlated) with IShares IBonds. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares iBonds 2028 has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is expected to generate 20.08 times more return on investment than IShares IBonds. However, Grayscale Bitcoin is 20.08 times more volatile than iShares iBonds 2028. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. iShares iBonds 2028 is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,123  in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  928.00  from holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust or generate 13.03% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust  vs.  iShares iBonds 2028

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Grayscale Bitcoin exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
iShares iBonds 2028 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares iBonds 2028 are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong technical indicators, IShares IBonds is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and IShares IBonds positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, IShares IBonds can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares IBonds will offset losses from the drop in IShares IBonds' long position.
The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and iShares iBonds 2028 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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