Correlation Between Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Gerdau SA ADR and Commercial Metals, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Gerdau SA with a short position of Commercial Metals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals.

Diversification Opportunities for Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Gerdau and Commercial is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gerdau SA ADR and Commercial Metals in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commercial Metals and Gerdau SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Gerdau SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Commercial Metals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commercial Metals has no effect on the direction of Gerdau SA i.e., Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Gerdau SA is expected to generate 1.36 times less return on investment than Commercial Metals. In addition to that, Gerdau SA is 1.05 times more volatile than Commercial Metals. It trades about 0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Commercial Metals is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,740  in Commercial Metals on November 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  274.00  from holding Commercial Metals or generate 5.78% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Gerdau SA ADR  vs.  Commercial Metals

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Gerdau SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Gerdau SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Commercial Metals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Commercial Metals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Gerdau SA and Commercial Metals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Gerdau SA position performs unexpectedly, Commercial Metals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commercial Metals will offset losses from the drop in Commercial Metals' long position.
The idea behind Gerdau SA ADR and Commercial Metals pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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