Correlation Between Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Glencore PLC ADR and Vale Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Glencore PLC with a short position of Vale Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia

-0.35
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Glencore and Vale is -0.35. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Glencore PLC ADR and Vale Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale Indonesia Tbk and Glencore PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Glencore PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with Vale Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of Glencore PLC i.e., Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days horizon Glencore PLC ADR is expected to generate 0.9 times more return on investment than Vale Indonesia. However, Glencore PLC ADR is 1.11 times less risky than Vale Indonesia. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vale Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,015  in Glencore PLC ADR on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (55.00) from holding Glencore PLC ADR or give up 5.42% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.73%
ValuesDaily Returns

Glencore PLC ADR  vs.  Vale Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Glencore PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Glencore PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Glencore PLC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vale Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vale Indonesia Tbk are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady fundamental indicators, Vale Indonesia may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite Glencore PLC and Vale Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Glencore PLC position performs unexpectedly, Vale Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Vale Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind Glencore PLC ADR and Vale Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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