Correlation Between Small Cap and Total Market

Specify exactly 2 symbols:
Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Total Market at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Total Market into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Equity and Total Market Portfolio, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Total Market and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Total Market. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Total Market.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Total Market

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Total is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Equity and Total Market Portfolio in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Total Market Portfolio and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Equity are associated (or correlated) with Total Market. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Total Market Portfolio has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Total Market go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Total Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Equity is expected to under-perform the Total Market. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Small Cap Equity is 1.02 times less risky than Total Market. The mutual fund trades about -0.31 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Total Market Portfolio is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,900  in Total Market Portfolio on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Total Market Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Equity  vs.  Total Market Portfolio

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Small Cap Equity 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Small Cap Equity has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Total Market Portfolio 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Total Market Portfolio has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Small Cap and Total Market Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Total Market

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Total Market positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Total Market can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Total Market will offset losses from the drop in Total Market's long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Equity and Total Market Portfolio pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Other Complementary Tools

Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm