Correlation Between Us Government and Oil Gas

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Us Government and Oil Gas at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Us Government and Oil Gas into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Us Government Plus and Oil Gas Ultrasector, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Us Government and Oil Gas and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Us Government with a short position of Oil Gas. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Us Government and Oil Gas.

Diversification Opportunities for Us Government and Oil Gas

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between GVPIX and Oil is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Us Government Plus and Oil Gas Ultrasector in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oil Gas Ultrasector and Us Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Us Government Plus are associated (or correlated) with Oil Gas. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oil Gas Ultrasector has no effect on the direction of Us Government i.e., Us Government and Oil Gas go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Us Government and Oil Gas

Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government Plus is expected to under-perform the Oil Gas. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Us Government Plus is 1.55 times less risky than Oil Gas. The mutual fund trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Oil Gas Ultrasector is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,095  in Oil Gas Ultrasector on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  791.00  from holding Oil Gas Ultrasector or generate 19.32% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Us Government Plus  vs.  Oil Gas Ultrasector

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Us Government Plus 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Us Government Plus has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's forward indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
Oil Gas Ultrasector 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oil Gas Ultrasector are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Oil Gas may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Us Government and Oil Gas Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Us Government and Oil Gas

The main advantage of trading using opposite Us Government and Oil Gas positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Us Government position performs unexpectedly, Oil Gas can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oil Gas will offset losses from the drop in Oil Gas' long position.
The idea behind Us Government Plus and Oil Gas Ultrasector pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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