Correlation Between Home Federal and Civista Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Civista Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Civista Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Civista Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Civista Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Civista Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Civista Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Civista Bancshares

-0.36
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Civista is -0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Civista Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Civista Bancshares and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Civista Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Civista Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Civista Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Civista Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 4.78 times less return on investment than Civista Bancshares. In addition to that, Home Federal is 1.54 times more volatile than Civista Bancshares. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Civista Bancshares is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,039  in Civista Bancshares on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  167.00  from holding Civista Bancshares or generate 8.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy85.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Civista Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Civista Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Civista Bancshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Civista Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

Home Federal and Civista Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Civista Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Civista Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Civista Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Civista Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Civista Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Civista Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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