Correlation Between Home Federal and First IC

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and First IC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and First IC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and First IC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and First IC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of First IC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and First IC.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and First IC

HomeFirstDiversified AwayHomeFirstDiversified Away100%
0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and First is 0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and First IC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First IC and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First IC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First IC has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and First IC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and First IC

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 12.55 times less return on investment than First IC. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Home Federal Bancorp is 1.64 times less risky than First IC. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First IC is currently generating about 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  720.00  in First IC on December 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  310.00  from holding First IC or generate 43.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy21.27%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  First IC

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -20020406080100120
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15HFBL FIEB
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFebJanFebMar12.212.412.612.81313.213.413.6
First IC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First IC are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, First IC sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JulOctJanAprNovJanOctJanAprNovJan5678910

Home Federal and First IC Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-7.53-5.64-3.75-1.860.01.833.765.687.619.53 0.020.030.040.050.060.07
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15HFBL FIEB
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and First IC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and First IC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, First IC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First IC will offset losses from the drop in First IC's long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and First IC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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