Correlation Between Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Hilltop Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Hilltop Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings

-0.1
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Hilltop is -0.1. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Hilltop Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Hilltop Holdings and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Hilltop Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Hilltop Holdings has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 19.7 times less return on investment than Hilltop Holdings. In addition to that, Home Federal is 1.65 times more volatile than Hilltop Holdings. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Hilltop Holdings is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,709  in Hilltop Holdings on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  389.00  from holding Hilltop Holdings or generate 14.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy86.62%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Hilltop Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Hilltop Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Hilltop Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Hilltop Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Hilltop Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Hilltop Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hilltop Holdings will offset losses from the drop in Hilltop Holdings' long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Hilltop Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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