Correlation Between Home Federal and Orange County

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Orange County at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Orange County into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Orange County Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Orange County and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Orange County. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Orange County.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Orange County

-0.59
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Orange is -0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Orange County Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orange County Bancorp and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Orange County. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orange County Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Orange County go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Orange County

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 1.21 times more return on investment than Orange County. However, Home Federal is 1.21 times more volatile than Orange County Bancorp. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orange County Bancorp is currently generating about -0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,251  in Home Federal Bancorp on November 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  19.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 1.52% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy90.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Orange County Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Orange County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orange County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Home Federal and Orange County Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Orange County

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Orange County positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Orange County can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orange County will offset losses from the drop in Orange County's long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Orange County Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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