Correlation Between HMN Financial and Orange County

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HMN Financial and Orange County at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HMN Financial and Orange County into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HMN Financial and Orange County Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HMN Financial and Orange County and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HMN Financial with a short position of Orange County. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HMN Financial and Orange County.

Diversification Opportunities for HMN Financial and Orange County

0.13
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between HMN and Orange is 0.13. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HMN Financial and Orange County Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orange County Bancorp and HMN Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HMN Financial are associated (or correlated) with Orange County. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orange County Bancorp has no effect on the direction of HMN Financial i.e., HMN Financial and Orange County go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HMN Financial and Orange County

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HMN Financial is expected to generate 0.7 times more return on investment than Orange County. However, HMN Financial is 1.43 times less risky than Orange County. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orange County Bancorp is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,690  in HMN Financial on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  109.00  from holding HMN Financial or generate 4.05% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy46.88%
ValuesDaily Returns

HMN Financial  vs.  Orange County Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Orange County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Orange County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental drivers, Orange County is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

HMN Financial and Orange County Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HMN Financial and Orange County

The main advantage of trading using opposite HMN Financial and Orange County positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HMN Financial position performs unexpectedly, Orange County can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orange County will offset losses from the drop in Orange County's long position.
The idea behind HMN Financial and Orange County Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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