Correlation Between HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in HMN Financial with a short position of Provident Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp

0.5
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between HMN and Provident is 0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on HMN Financial are associated (or correlated) with Provident Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Bancorp has no effect on the direction of HMN Financial i.e., HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days HMN Financial is expected to generate 1.51 times less return on investment than Provident Bancorp. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, HMN Financial is 1.2 times less risky than Provident Bancorp. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Provident Bancorp is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  750.00  in Provident Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  417.00  from holding Provident Bancorp or generate 55.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy91.92%
ValuesDaily Returns

HMN Financial  vs.  Provident Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Provident Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting fundamental drivers, Provident Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if HMN Financial position performs unexpectedly, Provident Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Provident Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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