Correlation Between PT Indofood and Gudang Garam

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PT Indofood and Gudang Garam at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PT Indofood and Gudang Garam into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PT Indofood Sukses and Gudang Garam Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PT Indofood and Gudang Garam and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PT Indofood with a short position of Gudang Garam. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PT Indofood and Gudang Garam.

Diversification Opportunities for PT Indofood and Gudang Garam

-0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between INDF and Gudang is -0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PT Indofood Sukses and Gudang Garam Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gudang Garam Tbk and PT Indofood is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PT Indofood Sukses are associated (or correlated) with Gudang Garam. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gudang Garam Tbk has no effect on the direction of PT Indofood i.e., PT Indofood and Gudang Garam go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PT Indofood and Gudang Garam

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Indofood Sukses is expected to generate 1.58 times more return on investment than Gudang Garam. However, PT Indofood is 1.58 times more volatile than Gudang Garam Tbk. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Gudang Garam Tbk is currently generating about -0.49 per unit of risk. If you would invest  752,500  in PT Indofood Sukses on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (5,000) from holding PT Indofood Sukses or give up 0.66% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

PT Indofood Sukses  vs.  Gudang Garam Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PT Indofood Sukses 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PT Indofood Sukses are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, PT Indofood may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Gudang Garam Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Gudang Garam Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

PT Indofood and Gudang Garam Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PT Indofood and Gudang Garam

The main advantage of trading using opposite PT Indofood and Gudang Garam positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PT Indofood position performs unexpectedly, Gudang Garam can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gudang Garam will offset losses from the drop in Gudang Garam's long position.
The idea behind PT Indofood Sukses and Gudang Garam Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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