Correlation Between Coffee and Oat Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Coffee and Oat Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Coffee and Oat Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Coffee and Oat Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Coffee and Oat Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Coffee with a short position of Oat Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Coffee and Oat Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Coffee and Oat Futures

-0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Coffee and Oat is -0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Coffee and Oat Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oat Futures and Coffee is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Coffee are associated (or correlated) with Oat Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oat Futures has no effect on the direction of Coffee i.e., Coffee and Oat Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Coffee and Oat Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Coffee is expected to generate 0.93 times more return on investment than Oat Futures. However, Coffee is 1.07 times less risky than Oat Futures. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oat Futures is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  16,260  in Coffee on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14,030  from holding Coffee or generate 86.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.61%
ValuesDaily Returns

Coffee  vs.  Oat Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Coffee 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Coffee are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Coffee showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Oat Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Coffee and Oat Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Coffee and Oat Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Coffee and Oat Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Coffee position performs unexpectedly, Oat Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oat Futures will offset losses from the drop in Oat Futures' long position.
The idea behind Coffee and Oat Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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