Correlation Between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direxion Daily SP and ProShares UltraPro SP500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direxion Daily with a short position of ProShares UltraPro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro.

Diversification Opportunities for Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

0.05
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Direxion and ProShares is 0.05. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Daily SP and ProShares UltraPro SP500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraPro SP500 and Direxion Daily is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direxion Daily SP are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraPro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraPro SP500 has no effect on the direction of Direxion Daily i.e., Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily SP is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraPro. In addition to that, Direxion Daily is 2.18 times more volatile than ProShares UltraPro SP500. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraPro SP500 is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,834  in ProShares UltraPro SP500 on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,804  from holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 or generate 151.38% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Direxion Daily SP  vs.  ProShares UltraPro SP500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Direxion Daily SP 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direxion Daily SP are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain fundamental drivers, Direxion Daily may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
ProShares UltraPro SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraPro SP500 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, ProShares UltraPro displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direxion Daily and ProShares UltraPro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direxion Daily position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraPro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraPro will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraPro's long position.
The idea behind Direxion Daily SP and ProShares UltraPro SP500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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