Correlation Between Live Cattle and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Live Cattle and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Live Cattle and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Live Cattle Futures and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Live Cattle and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Live Cattle with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Live Cattle and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Live Cattle and Cocoa

0.32
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Live and Cocoa is 0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Live Cattle Futures and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Live Cattle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Live Cattle Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Live Cattle i.e., Live Cattle and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Live Cattle and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days horizon Live Cattle is expected to generate 5.92 times less return on investment than Cocoa. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Live Cattle Futures is 2.65 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  273,200  in Cocoa on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  583,400  from holding Cocoa or generate 213.54% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.81%
ValuesDaily Returns

Live Cattle Futures  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Live Cattle Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Live Cattle Futures are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Live Cattle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cocoa has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Cocoa is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Live Cattle and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Live Cattle and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Live Cattle and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Live Cattle position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Live Cattle Futures and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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