Correlation Between Live Cattle and Lean Hogs

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Live Cattle and Lean Hogs at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Live Cattle and Lean Hogs into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Live Cattle Futures and Lean Hogs Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Live Cattle and Lean Hogs and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Live Cattle with a short position of Lean Hogs. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Live Cattle and Lean Hogs.

Diversification Opportunities for Live Cattle and Lean Hogs

0.18
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Live and Lean is 0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Live Cattle Futures and Lean Hogs Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Lean Hogs Futures and Live Cattle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Live Cattle Futures are associated (or correlated) with Lean Hogs. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Lean Hogs Futures has no effect on the direction of Live Cattle i.e., Live Cattle and Lean Hogs go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Live Cattle and Lean Hogs

Assuming the 90 days horizon Live Cattle is expected to generate 1.45 times less return on investment than Lean Hogs. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Live Cattle Futures is 1.86 times less risky than Lean Hogs. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Lean Hogs Futures is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,338  in Lean Hogs Futures on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,402  from holding Lean Hogs Futures or generate 19.11% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.16%
ValuesDaily Returns

Live Cattle Futures  vs.  Lean Hogs Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Live Cattle Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Live Cattle Futures are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Live Cattle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Lean Hogs Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lean Hogs Futures are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Lean Hogs may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

Live Cattle and Lean Hogs Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Live Cattle and Lean Hogs

The main advantage of trading using opposite Live Cattle and Lean Hogs positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Live Cattle position performs unexpectedly, Lean Hogs can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lean Hogs will offset losses from the drop in Lean Hogs' long position.
The idea behind Live Cattle Futures and Lean Hogs Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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