Correlation Between Mastercard and PayPal Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Mastercard and PayPal Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Mastercard and PayPal Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Mastercard and PayPal Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Mastercard and PayPal Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Mastercard with a short position of PayPal Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Mastercard and PayPal Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for Mastercard and PayPal Holdings

0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Mastercard and PayPal is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mastercard and PayPal Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PayPal Holdings and Mastercard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Mastercard are associated (or correlated) with PayPal Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PayPal Holdings has no effect on the direction of Mastercard i.e., Mastercard and PayPal Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Mastercard and PayPal Holdings

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Mastercard is expected to generate 1.25 times less return on investment than PayPal Holdings. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Mastercard is 1.76 times less risky than PayPal Holdings. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. PayPal Holdings is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,813  in PayPal Holdings on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,144  from holding PayPal Holdings or generate 14.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Mastercard  vs.  PayPal Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Mastercard 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mastercard are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Mastercard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
PayPal Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PayPal Holdings are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent basic indicators, PayPal Holdings disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Mastercard and PayPal Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Mastercard and PayPal Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite Mastercard and PayPal Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Mastercard position performs unexpectedly, PayPal Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PayPal Holdings will offset losses from the drop in PayPal Holdings' long position.
The idea behind Mastercard and PayPal Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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