Correlation Between IShares MBS and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both IShares MBS and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining IShares MBS and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between iShares MBS ETF and US Treasury 5, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on IShares MBS and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in IShares MBS with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of IShares MBS and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for IShares MBS and US Treasury

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between IShares and UFIV is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding iShares MBS ETF and US Treasury 5 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 5 and IShares MBS is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on iShares MBS ETF are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 5 has no effect on the direction of IShares MBS i.e., IShares MBS and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between IShares MBS and US Treasury

Considering the 90-day investment horizon iShares MBS ETF is expected to generate 1.44 times more return on investment than US Treasury. However, IShares MBS is 1.44 times more volatile than US Treasury 5. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 5 is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,974  in iShares MBS ETF on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  365.00  from holding iShares MBS ETF or generate 4.07% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

iShares MBS ETF  vs.  US Treasury 5

 Performance 
       Timeline  
iShares MBS ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days iShares MBS ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, IShares MBS is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
US Treasury 5 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 5 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

IShares MBS and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with IShares MBS and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite IShares MBS and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if IShares MBS position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind iShares MBS ETF and US Treasury 5 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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