Correlation Between Micro Gold and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Micro Gold and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Micro Gold and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Micro Gold Futures and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Micro Gold and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Micro Gold with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Micro Gold and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Micro Gold and Cocoa

-0.22
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Micro and Cocoa is -0.22. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Micro Gold Futures and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Micro Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Micro Gold Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Micro Gold i.e., Micro Gold and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Micro Gold and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Micro Gold is expected to generate 10.82 times less return on investment than Cocoa. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Micro Gold Futures is 3.38 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  786,700  in Cocoa on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  109,600  from holding Cocoa or generate 13.93% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Micro Gold Futures  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Micro Gold Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Micro Gold Futures are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Micro Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Micro Gold and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Micro Gold and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Micro Gold and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Micro Gold position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Micro Gold Futures and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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