Correlation Between National Capital and First Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Capital and First Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Capital and First Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Capital Bank and First Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Capital and First Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Capital with a short position of First Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Capital and First Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for National Capital and First Bancshares

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and First is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Capital Bank and First Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancshares and National Capital is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Capital Bank are associated (or correlated) with First Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancshares has no effect on the direction of National Capital i.e., National Capital and First Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Capital and First Bancshares

If you would invest  18,943  in National Capital Bank on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11,057  from holding National Capital Bank or generate 58.37% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy5.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Capital Bank  vs.  First Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Capital Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Capital Bank are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, National Capital sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, First Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

National Capital and First Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Capital and First Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Capital and First Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Capital position performs unexpectedly, First Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in First Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind National Capital Bank and First Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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