Correlation Between National Bank and Heartland Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both National Bank and Heartland Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining National Bank and Heartland Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between National Bank Holdings and Heartland Financial USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on National Bank and Heartland Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in National Bank with a short position of Heartland Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of National Bank and Heartland Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for National Bank and Heartland Financial

-0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between National and Heartland is -0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Bank Holdings and Heartland Financial USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heartland Financial USA and National Bank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on National Bank Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Heartland Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heartland Financial USA has no effect on the direction of National Bank i.e., National Bank and Heartland Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between National Bank and Heartland Financial

Assuming the 90 days horizon National Bank Holdings is expected to generate 1.42 times more return on investment than Heartland Financial. However, National Bank is 1.42 times more volatile than Heartland Financial USA. It trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heartland Financial USA is currently generating about -0.58 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,991  in National Bank Holdings on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (119.00) from holding National Bank Holdings or give up 2.98% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy13.64%
ValuesDaily Returns

National Bank Holdings  vs.  Heartland Financial USA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
Heartland Financial USA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Heartland Financial USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Heartland Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

National Bank and Heartland Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with National Bank and Heartland Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite National Bank and Heartland Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, Heartland Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heartland Financial will offset losses from the drop in Heartland Financial's long position.
The idea behind National Bank Holdings and Heartland Financial USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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