Correlation Between NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NovaGold Resources with a short position of TransAtlantic Petroleum. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum.

Diversification Opportunities for NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum

-0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between NovaGold and TransAtlantic is -0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TransAtlantic Petroleum and NovaGold Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NovaGold Resources are associated (or correlated) with TransAtlantic Petroleum. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TransAtlantic Petroleum has no effect on the direction of NovaGold Resources i.e., NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum

Assuming the 90 days horizon NovaGold Resources is expected to under-perform the TransAtlantic Petroleum. In addition to that, NovaGold Resources is 1.48 times more volatile than TransAtlantic Petroleum. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. TransAtlantic Petroleum is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,720  in TransAtlantic Petroleum on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,208  from holding TransAtlantic Petroleum or generate 70.23% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy75.6%
ValuesDaily Returns

NovaGold Resources  vs.  TransAtlantic Petroleum

 Performance 
       Timeline  
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.
TransAtlantic Petroleum 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days TransAtlantic Petroleum has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, TransAtlantic Petroleum is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum

The main advantage of trading using opposite NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NovaGold Resources position performs unexpectedly, TransAtlantic Petroleum can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TransAtlantic Petroleum will offset losses from the drop in TransAtlantic Petroleum's long position.
The idea behind NovaGold Resources and TransAtlantic Petroleum pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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