Correlation Between New Gold and Northern Dynasty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both New Gold and Northern Dynasty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining New Gold and Northern Dynasty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between New Gold and Northern Dynasty Minerals, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on New Gold and Northern Dynasty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in New Gold with a short position of Northern Dynasty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of New Gold and Northern Dynasty.

Diversification Opportunities for New Gold and Northern Dynasty

-0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between New and Northern is -0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding New Gold and Northern Dynasty Minerals in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Dynasty Minerals and New Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on New Gold are associated (or correlated) with Northern Dynasty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Dynasty Minerals has no effect on the direction of New Gold i.e., New Gold and Northern Dynasty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between New Gold and Northern Dynasty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New Gold is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than Northern Dynasty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, New Gold is 1.07 times less risky than Northern Dynasty. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Dynasty Minerals is currently generating about 0.33 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  60.00  in Northern Dynasty Minerals on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding Northern Dynasty Minerals or generate 26.67% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

New Gold  vs.  Northern Dynasty Minerals

 Performance 
       Timeline  
New Gold 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in New Gold are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating fundamental indicators, New Gold may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Northern Dynasty Minerals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Dynasty Minerals are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating primary indicators, Northern Dynasty displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

New Gold and Northern Dynasty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with New Gold and Northern Dynasty

The main advantage of trading using opposite New Gold and Northern Dynasty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if New Gold position performs unexpectedly, Northern Dynasty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Dynasty will offset losses from the drop in Northern Dynasty's long position.
The idea behind New Gold and Northern Dynasty Minerals pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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