Correlation Between Natural Gas and Petrofac

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Natural Gas and Petrofac at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Natural Gas and Petrofac into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Natural Gas Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Natural Gas and Petrofac and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Natural Gas with a short position of Petrofac. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Natural Gas and Petrofac.

Diversification Opportunities for Natural Gas and Petrofac

-0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Natural and Petrofac is -0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Natural Gas Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Petrofac ADR and Natural Gas is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Natural Gas Services are associated (or correlated) with Petrofac. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Petrofac ADR has no effect on the direction of Natural Gas i.e., Natural Gas and Petrofac go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Natural Gas and Petrofac

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Natural Gas Services is expected to generate 0.29 times more return on investment than Petrofac. However, Natural Gas Services is 3.41 times less risky than Petrofac. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Petrofac Ltd ADR is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,040  in Natural Gas Services on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  645.00  from holding Natural Gas Services or generate 31.62% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Natural Gas Services  vs.  Petrofac Ltd ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Natural Gas Services 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Gas Services are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Natural Gas unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Petrofac ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Petrofac Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Natural Gas and Petrofac Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Natural Gas and Petrofac

The main advantage of trading using opposite Natural Gas and Petrofac positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Natural Gas position performs unexpectedly, Petrofac can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Petrofac will offset losses from the drop in Petrofac's long position.
The idea behind Natural Gas Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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