Correlation Between Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Small Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northern Small with a short position of Vanguard Small-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northern and Vanguard is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Small Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Small Cap and Northern Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northern Small Cap are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Small-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Northern Small i.e., Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Small Cap is expected to generate 1.44 times more return on investment than Vanguard Small-cap. However, Northern Small is 1.44 times more volatile than Vanguard Small Cap Value. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Small Cap Value is currently generating about 0.25 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,092  in Northern Small Cap on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  157.00  from holding Northern Small Cap or generate 7.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northern Small Cap  vs.  Vanguard Small Cap Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northern Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northern Small Cap are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Northern Small may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Value are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northern Small and Vanguard Small-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northern Small position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Small-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Small-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Small-cap's long position.
The idea behind Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Small Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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