Correlation Between Novartis and Bristol Myers

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and Bristol Myers at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and Bristol Myers into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and Bristol Myers and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of Bristol Myers. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and Bristol Myers.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and Bristol Myers

-0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and Bristol is -0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bristol Myers Squibb and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG are associated (or correlated) with Bristol Myers. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bristol Myers Squibb has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and Bristol Myers go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and Bristol Myers

Assuming the 90 days horizon Novartis AG is expected to generate 0.64 times more return on investment than Bristol Myers. However, Novartis AG is 1.56 times less risky than Bristol Myers. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Bristol Myers Squibb is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,205  in Novartis AG on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,620  from holding Novartis AG or generate 19.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy48.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Novartis AG  vs.  Bristol Myers Squibb

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Novartis AG 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Novartis AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Bristol Myers Squibb 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bristol Myers Squibb are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile primary indicators, Bristol Myers reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Novartis and Bristol Myers Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Novartis and Bristol Myers

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and Bristol Myers positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, Bristol Myers can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bristol Myers will offset losses from the drop in Bristol Myers' long position.
The idea behind Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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