Correlation Between US Treasury and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Treasury and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Treasury and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Treasury 12 and First Trust Consumer, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Treasury and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Treasury with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Treasury and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for US Treasury and First Trust

-0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between OBIL and First is -0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Treasury 12 and First Trust Consumer in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Consumer and US Treasury is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Treasury 12 are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Consumer has no effect on the direction of US Treasury i.e., US Treasury and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Treasury and First Trust

Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury 12 is expected to generate 0.05 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, US Treasury 12 is 19.72 times less risky than First Trust. It trades about 0.51 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Consumer is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,959  in US Treasury 12 on October 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  54.00  from holding US Treasury 12 or generate 1.09% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Treasury 12  vs.  First Trust Consumer

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Treasury 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

40 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 12 are ranked lower than 40 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
First Trust Consumer 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Trust Consumer has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

US Treasury and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Treasury and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Treasury and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Treasury position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind US Treasury 12 and First Trust Consumer pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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