Correlation Between Oak Valley and Fidelity

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oak Valley and Fidelity at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oak Valley and Fidelity into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oak Valley Bancorp and Fidelity DD Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oak Valley and Fidelity and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oak Valley with a short position of Fidelity. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oak Valley and Fidelity.

Diversification Opportunities for Oak Valley and Fidelity

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oak and Fidelity is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oak Valley Bancorp and Fidelity DD Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Fidelity DD Bancorp and Oak Valley is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oak Valley Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Fidelity. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Fidelity DD Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Oak Valley i.e., Oak Valley and Fidelity go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oak Valley and Fidelity

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Fidelity. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Oak Valley Bancorp is 1.16 times less risky than Fidelity. The stock trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Fidelity DD Bancorp is currently generating about -0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,695  in Fidelity DD Bancorp on November 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (215.00) from holding Fidelity DD Bancorp or give up 4.58% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oak Valley Bancorp  vs.  Fidelity DD Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Oak Valley Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong essential indicators, Oak Valley is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Fidelity DD Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Fidelity DD Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Oak Valley and Fidelity Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oak Valley and Fidelity

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oak Valley and Fidelity positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oak Valley position performs unexpectedly, Fidelity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fidelity will offset losses from the drop in Fidelity's long position.
The idea behind Oak Valley Bancorp and Fidelity DD Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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