Correlation Between PGIM ETF and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PGIM ETF and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PGIM ETF and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PGIM ETF Trust and US Treasury 12, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PGIM ETF and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PGIM ETF with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PGIM ETF and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for PGIM ETF and US Treasury

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between PGIM and OBIL is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PGIM ETF Trust and US Treasury 12 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 12 and PGIM ETF is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PGIM ETF Trust are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 12 has no effect on the direction of PGIM ETF i.e., PGIM ETF and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PGIM ETF and US Treasury

Given the investment horizon of 90 days PGIM ETF Trust is expected to generate 0.75 times more return on investment than US Treasury. However, PGIM ETF Trust is 1.34 times less risky than US Treasury. It trades about 0.69 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 12 is currently generating about 0.43 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,974  in PGIM ETF Trust on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  163.00  from holding PGIM ETF Trust or generate 3.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

PGIM ETF Trust  vs.  US Treasury 12

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PGIM ETF Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

56 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Market Crasher
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PGIM ETF Trust are ranked lower than 56 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, PGIM ETF is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
US Treasury 12 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

25 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 12 are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent forward indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

PGIM ETF and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PGIM ETF and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite PGIM ETF and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PGIM ETF position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind PGIM ETF Trust and US Treasury 12 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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