Correlation Between Palladium and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Palladium and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Palladium and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Palladium and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Palladium and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Palladium with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Palladium and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Palladium and Cocoa

-0.42
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Palladium and Cocoa is -0.42. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Palladium and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Palladium is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Palladium are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Palladium i.e., Palladium and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Palladium and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days horizon Palladium is expected to generate 0.64 times more return on investment than Cocoa. However, Palladium is 1.57 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about -0.36 per unit of risk. If you would invest  97,300  in Palladium on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,550  from holding Palladium or generate 1.59% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Palladium  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Palladium 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Palladium are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Palladium is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cocoa has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Cocoa is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Palladium and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Palladium and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Palladium and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Palladium position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Palladium and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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