Correlation Between Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras and Novacyt SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Petroleo Brasileiro with a short position of Novacyt SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA

0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Petroleo and Novacyt is 0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras and Novacyt SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Novacyt SA and Petroleo Brasileiro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras are associated (or correlated) with Novacyt SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Novacyt SA has no effect on the direction of Petroleo Brasileiro i.e., Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras is expected to under-perform the Novacyt SA. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras is 2.69 times less risky than Novacyt SA. The stock trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Novacyt SA is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  66.00  in Novacyt SA on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Novacyt SA or give up 3.03% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras  vs.  Novacyt SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Petroleo Brasileiro 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable fundamental drivers, Petroleo Brasileiro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Novacyt SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Novacyt SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Petroleo Brasileiro and Novacyt SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Petroleo Brasileiro position performs unexpectedly, Novacyt SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Novacyt SA will offset losses from the drop in Novacyt SA's long position.
The idea behind Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras and Novacyt SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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