Correlation Between Total Return and Vanguard Total

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Total Return and Vanguard Total at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Total Return and Vanguard Total into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Total Return Fund and Vanguard Total Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Total Return and Vanguard Total and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Total Return with a short position of Vanguard Total. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Total Return and Vanguard Total.

Diversification Opportunities for Total Return and Vanguard Total

1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Total and Vanguard is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Total Return Fund and Vanguard Total Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Total Bond and Total Return is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Total Return Fund are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Total. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Total Bond has no effect on the direction of Total Return i.e., Total Return and Vanguard Total go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Total Return and Vanguard Total

Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Return is expected to generate 1.04 times less return on investment than Vanguard Total. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Total Return Fund is 1.03 times less risky than Vanguard Total. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Total Bond is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  933.00  in Vanguard Total Bond on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  35.00  from holding Vanguard Total Bond or generate 3.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Total Return Fund  vs.  Vanguard Total Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Total Return 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Total Return Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Total Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Total Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Total Return and Vanguard Total Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Total Return and Vanguard Total

The main advantage of trading using opposite Total Return and Vanguard Total positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Total Return position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Total can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Total will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Total's long position.
The idea behind Total Return Fund and Vanguard Total Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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