Correlation Between Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Provident Bancorp with a short position of HMN Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial

0.5
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Provident and HMN is 0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on HMN Financial and Provident Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Provident Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with HMN Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of HMN Financial has no effect on the direction of Provident Bancorp i.e., Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Provident Bancorp is expected to generate 1.2 times more return on investment than HMN Financial. However, Provident Bancorp is 1.2 times more volatile than HMN Financial. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. HMN Financial is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  750.00  in Provident Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  417.00  from holding Provident Bancorp or generate 55.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy91.92%
ValuesDaily Returns

Provident Bancorp  vs.  HMN Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Provident Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Provident Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting fundamental drivers, Provident Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
HMN Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Over the last 90 days HMN Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, HMN Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Provident Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, HMN Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HMN Financial will offset losses from the drop in HMN Financial's long position.
The idea behind Provident Bancorp and HMN Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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