Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra QQQ and ProShares UltraShort Dow30, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort

ProSharesProSharesDiversified AwayProSharesProSharesDiversified Away100%
-0.33
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and ProShares is -0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra QQQ and ProShares UltraShort Dow30 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra QQQ are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra QQQ is expected to generate 1.58 times more return on investment than ProShares UltraShort. However, ProShares Ultra is 1.58 times more volatile than ProShares UltraShort Dow30. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraShort Dow30 is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,356  in ProShares Ultra QQQ on December 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,195  from holding ProShares Ultra QQQ or generate 26.27% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra QQQ  vs.  ProShares UltraShort Dow30

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -50510
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15QLD DXD
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra QQQ 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra QQQ has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound essential indicators, ProShares Ultra is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar105110115120
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort Dow30 are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, ProShares UltraShort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar2424.52525.52626.52727.528

ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-7.53-5.64-3.75-1.860.011.863.765.657.55 0.050.100.15
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15QLD DXD
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra QQQ and ProShares UltraShort Dow30 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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