Correlation Between Inverse Government and Short-term Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Government and Short-term Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Government and Short-term Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Government Long and Short Term Government Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Government and Short-term Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Government with a short position of Short-term Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Government and Short-term Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Government and Short-term Government

-0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and Short-term is -0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Government Long and Short Term Government Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Short Term Government and Inverse Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Government Long are associated (or correlated) with Short-term Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Short Term Government has no effect on the direction of Inverse Government i.e., Inverse Government and Short-term Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Government and Short-term Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Government Long is expected to generate 9.37 times more return on investment than Short-term Government. However, Inverse Government is 9.37 times more volatile than Short Term Government Fund. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Short Term Government Fund is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  19,170  in Inverse Government Long on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  334.00  from holding Inverse Government Long or generate 1.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Inverse Government Long  vs.  Short Term Government Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Inverse Government Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inverse Government Long are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Inverse Government may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Short Term Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Short Term Government Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Short-term Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Inverse Government and Short-term Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Inverse Government and Short-term Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Government and Short-term Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Government position performs unexpectedly, Short-term Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Short-term Government will offset losses from the drop in Short-term Government's long position.
The idea behind Inverse Government Long and Short Term Government Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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