Correlation Between Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Government Long and Invesco Municipal Income, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Government with a short position of Invesco Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal

-0.45
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and Invesco is -0.45. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Government Long and Invesco Municipal Income in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Invesco Municipal Income and Inverse Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Government Long are associated (or correlated) with Invesco Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Invesco Municipal Income has no effect on the direction of Inverse Government i.e., Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Government Long is expected to under-perform the Invesco Municipal. In addition to that, Inverse Government is 7.78 times more volatile than Invesco Municipal Income. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Invesco Municipal Income is currently generating about 0.39 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,204  in Invesco Municipal Income on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12.00  from holding Invesco Municipal Income or generate 1.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Inverse Government Long  vs.  Invesco Municipal Income

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Inverse Government Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inverse Government Long are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Inverse Government may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Invesco Municipal Income 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco Municipal Income are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Invesco Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Government and Invesco Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Government position performs unexpectedly, Invesco Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Invesco Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Inverse Government Long and Invesco Municipal Income pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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