Correlation Between SBM Offshore and CF Industries

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SBM Offshore and CF Industries at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SBM Offshore and CF Industries into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SBM Offshore NV and CF Industries Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SBM Offshore and CF Industries and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SBM Offshore with a short position of CF Industries. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SBM Offshore and CF Industries.

Diversification Opportunities for SBM Offshore and CF Industries

-0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between SBM and CF Industries is -0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SBM Offshore NV and CF Industries Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CF Industries Holdings and SBM Offshore is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SBM Offshore NV are associated (or correlated) with CF Industries. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CF Industries Holdings has no effect on the direction of SBM Offshore i.e., SBM Offshore and CF Industries go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SBM Offshore and CF Industries

Assuming the 90 days horizon SBM Offshore NV is expected to under-perform the CF Industries. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, SBM Offshore NV is 1.15 times less risky than CF Industries. The pink sheet trades about -0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The CF Industries Holdings is currently generating about -0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,663  in CF Industries Holdings on January 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (463.00) from holding CF Industries Holdings or give up 6.04% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SBM Offshore NV  vs.  CF Industries Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SBM Offshore NV 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SBM Offshore NV are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, SBM Offshore showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
CF Industries Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CF Industries Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

SBM Offshore and CF Industries Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SBM Offshore and CF Industries

The main advantage of trading using opposite SBM Offshore and CF Industries positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SBM Offshore position performs unexpectedly, CF Industries can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CF Industries will offset losses from the drop in CF Industries' long position.
The idea behind SBM Offshore NV and CF Industries Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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