Correlation Between Small Cap and Vanguard Target

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Vanguard Target at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Vanguard Target into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Core and Vanguard Target Retirement, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Vanguard Target and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Vanguard Target. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Vanguard Target.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Vanguard Target

0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Vanguard is 0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Core and Vanguard Target Retirement in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Target Reti and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Core are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Target. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Target Reti has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Vanguard Target go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Vanguard Target

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Core is expected to generate 4.06 times more return on investment than Vanguard Target. However, Small Cap is 4.06 times more volatile than Vanguard Target Retirement. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Target Retirement is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,393  in Small Cap Core on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  93.00  from holding Small Cap Core or generate 6.68% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Core  vs.  Vanguard Target Retirement

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Small Cap Core 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Core are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Small Cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Vanguard Target Reti 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Target Retirement are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Target is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Small Cap and Vanguard Target Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Vanguard Target

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Vanguard Target positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Target can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Target will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Target's long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Core and Vanguard Target Retirement pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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