Correlation Between ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Trust with a short position of Grayscale Bitcoin. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin

-0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Grayscale is -0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and ProShares Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Trust are associated (or correlated) with Grayscale Bitcoin. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has no effect on the direction of ProShares Trust i.e., ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Trust is expected to generate 1.63 times more return on investment than Grayscale Bitcoin. However, ProShares Trust is 1.63 times more volatile than Grayscale Bitcoin Trust. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,315  in ProShares Trust on January 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  397.00  from holding ProShares Trust or generate 17.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Trust  vs.  Grayscale Bitcoin Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Trust are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly uncertain basic indicators, ProShares Trust demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Trust position performs unexpectedly, Grayscale Bitcoin can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Grayscale Bitcoin will offset losses from the drop in Grayscale Bitcoin's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Trust and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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