Correlation Between ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Short SP500 and ProShares UltraShort MSCI, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Short with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort

-0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and ProShares is -0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Short SP500 and ProShares UltraShort MSCI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort MSCI and ProShares Short is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Short SP500 are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort MSCI has no effect on the direction of ProShares Short i.e., ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon ProShares Short SP500 is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraShort. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ProShares Short SP500 is 2.75 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. The etf trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares UltraShort MSCI is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,260  in ProShares UltraShort MSCI on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,228) from holding ProShares UltraShort MSCI or give up 23.35% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Short SP500  vs.  ProShares UltraShort MSCI

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Short SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Short SP500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Etf's technical indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the Etf traders.
ProShares UltraShort MSCI 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort MSCI are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, ProShares UltraShort may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Short and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Short position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Short SP500 and ProShares UltraShort MSCI pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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