Correlation Between Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Smurfit Kappa Group and Mondi PLC ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Smurfit Kappa with a short position of Mondi PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC

0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Smurfit and Mondi is 0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Smurfit Kappa Group and Mondi PLC ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mondi PLC ADR and Smurfit Kappa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Smurfit Kappa Group are associated (or correlated) with Mondi PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mondi PLC ADR has no effect on the direction of Smurfit Kappa i.e., Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC

Assuming the 90 days horizon Smurfit Kappa Group is expected to under-perform the Mondi PLC. In addition to that, Smurfit Kappa is 5.58 times more volatile than Mondi PLC ADR. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Mondi PLC ADR is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,408  in Mondi PLC ADR on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (443.00) from holding Mondi PLC ADR or give up 13.0% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy55.26%
ValuesDaily Returns

Smurfit Kappa Group  vs.  Mondi PLC ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Smurfit Kappa Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Smurfit Kappa Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong forward-looking signals, Smurfit Kappa is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Mondi PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Mondi PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Smurfit Kappa and Mondi PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Smurfit Kappa position performs unexpectedly, Mondi PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mondi PLC will offset losses from the drop in Mondi PLC's long position.
The idea behind Smurfit Kappa Group and Mondi PLC ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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