Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra SP500 and Tidal Trust II, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of Tidal Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust

0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Tidal is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra SP500 and Tidal Trust II in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tidal Trust II and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra SP500 are associated (or correlated) with Tidal Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tidal Trust II has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra SP500 is expected to generate 0.35 times more return on investment than Tidal Trust. However, ProShares Ultra SP500 is 2.89 times less risky than Tidal Trust. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tidal Trust II is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,803  in ProShares Ultra SP500 on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,789  from holding ProShares Ultra SP500 or generate 99.71% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy25.55%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra SP500  vs.  Tidal Trust II

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra SP500 are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, ProShares Ultra may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Tidal Trust II 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tidal Trust II are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Tidal Trust showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and Tidal Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, Tidal Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tidal Trust will offset losses from the drop in Tidal Trust's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra SP500 and Tidal Trust II pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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