Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort 20 and Simplify Exchange Traded, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of Simplify Exchange. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange

-0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Simplify is -0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort 20 and Simplify Exchange Traded in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Simplify Exchange Traded and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort 20 are associated (or correlated) with Simplify Exchange. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Simplify Exchange Traded has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort 20 is expected to under-perform the Simplify Exchange. In addition to that, ProShares UltraShort is 4.36 times more volatile than Simplify Exchange Traded. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Simplify Exchange Traded is currently generating about -0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,169  in Simplify Exchange Traded on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (26.00) from holding Simplify Exchange Traded or give up 1.2% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraShort 20  vs.  Simplify Exchange Traded

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort 20 are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain fundamental drivers, ProShares UltraShort may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Simplify Exchange Traded 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Simplify Exchange Traded has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Simplify Exchange is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and Simplify Exchange positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, Simplify Exchange can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Simplify Exchange will offset losses from the drop in Simplify Exchange's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraShort 20 and Simplify Exchange Traded pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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