Correlation Between Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Triple Flag Precious and Sibanye Gold Ltd, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Triple Flag with a short position of Sibanye Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Triple and Sibanye is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triple Flag Precious and Sibanye Gold Ltd in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Sibanye Gold and Triple Flag is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Triple Flag Precious are associated (or correlated) with Sibanye Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Sibanye Gold has no effect on the direction of Triple Flag i.e., Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Triple Flag is expected to generate 1.51 times less return on investment than Sibanye Gold. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Triple Flag Precious is 2.01 times less risky than Sibanye Gold. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently generating about 0.22 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  352.00  in Sibanye Gold Ltd on November 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  48.00  from holding Sibanye Gold Ltd or generate 13.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Triple Flag Precious  vs.  Sibanye Gold Ltd

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Triple Flag Precious 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triple Flag Precious are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Triple Flag is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Sibanye Gold 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Sibanye Gold Ltd has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Sibanye Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite Triple Flag and Sibanye Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Triple Flag position performs unexpectedly, Sibanye Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sibanye Gold will offset losses from the drop in Sibanye Gold's long position.
The idea behind Triple Flag Precious and Sibanye Gold Ltd pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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