Correlation Between Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tofas Turk Otomobil and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tofas Turk with a short position of Turkiye Petrol. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol.

Diversification Opportunities for Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol

-0.18
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tofas and Turkiye is -0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tofas Turk Otomobil and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Turkiye Petrol Rafin and Tofas Turk is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tofas Turk Otomobil are associated (or correlated) with Turkiye Petrol. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Turkiye Petrol Rafin has no effect on the direction of Tofas Turk i.e., Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tofas Turk Otomobil is expected to generate 1.67 times more return on investment than Turkiye Petrol. However, Tofas Turk is 1.67 times more volatile than Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri. It trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri is currently generating about -0.39 per unit of risk. If you would invest  20,900  in Tofas Turk Otomobil on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (630.00) from holding Tofas Turk Otomobil or give up 3.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tofas Turk Otomobil  vs.  Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tofas Turk Otomobil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tofas Turk Otomobil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong forward indicators, Tofas Turk is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Turkiye Petrol Rafin 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tofas Turk and Turkiye Petrol positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tofas Turk position performs unexpectedly, Turkiye Petrol can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Turkiye Petrol will offset losses from the drop in Turkiye Petrol's long position.
The idea behind Tofas Turk Otomobil and Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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