Correlation Between Toll Brothers and MI Homes

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toll Brothers and MI Homes at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toll Brothers and MI Homes into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toll Brothers and MI Homes, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toll Brothers and MI Homes and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toll Brothers with a short position of MI Homes. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toll Brothers and MI Homes.

Diversification Opportunities for Toll Brothers and MI Homes

0.6
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toll and MHO is 0.6. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toll Brothers and MI Homes in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MI Homes and Toll Brothers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toll Brothers are associated (or correlated) with MI Homes. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MI Homes has no effect on the direction of Toll Brothers i.e., Toll Brothers and MI Homes go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toll Brothers and MI Homes

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Toll Brothers is expected to generate 0.87 times more return on investment than MI Homes. However, Toll Brothers is 1.15 times less risky than MI Homes. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. MI Homes is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  15,068  in Toll Brothers on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,712  from holding Toll Brothers or generate 11.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Toll Brothers  vs.  MI Homes

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Toll Brothers 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Toll Brothers are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent basic indicators, Toll Brothers disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
MI Homes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MI Homes are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain technical indicators, MI Homes may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Toll Brothers and MI Homes Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Toll Brothers and MI Homes

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toll Brothers and MI Homes positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toll Brothers position performs unexpectedly, MI Homes can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MI Homes will offset losses from the drop in MI Homes' long position.
The idea behind Toll Brothers and MI Homes pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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