Correlation Between Total Energy and Petrofac

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Total Energy and Petrofac at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Total Energy and Petrofac into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Total Energy Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Total Energy and Petrofac and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Total Energy with a short position of Petrofac. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Total Energy and Petrofac.

Diversification Opportunities for Total Energy and Petrofac

0.28
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Total and Petrofac is 0.28. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Total Energy Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Petrofac ADR and Total Energy is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Total Energy Services are associated (or correlated) with Petrofac. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Petrofac ADR has no effect on the direction of Total Energy i.e., Total Energy and Petrofac go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Total Energy and Petrofac

Assuming the 90 days horizon Total Energy Services is expected to under-perform the Petrofac. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Total Energy Services is 7.47 times less risky than Petrofac. The pink sheet trades about -0.38 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Petrofac Ltd ADR is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4.00  in Petrofac Ltd ADR on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.04  from holding Petrofac Ltd ADR or generate 1.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Total Energy Services  vs.  Petrofac Ltd ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Total Energy Services 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Total Energy Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Petrofac ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Petrofac Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Petrofac is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Total Energy and Petrofac Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Total Energy and Petrofac

The main advantage of trading using opposite Total Energy and Petrofac positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Total Energy position performs unexpectedly, Petrofac can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Petrofac will offset losses from the drop in Petrofac's long position.
The idea behind Total Energy Services and Petrofac Ltd ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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