Correlation Between Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tullow Oil plc and Horizon Oil Limited, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tullow Oil with a short position of Horizon Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil

0.15
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tullow and Horizon is 0.15. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tullow Oil plc and Horizon Oil Limited in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Horizon Oil Limited and Tullow Oil is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tullow Oil plc are associated (or correlated) with Horizon Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Horizon Oil Limited has no effect on the direction of Tullow Oil i.e., Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil

Assuming the 90 days horizon Tullow Oil plc is expected to under-perform the Horizon Oil. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Tullow Oil plc is 1.38 times less risky than Horizon Oil. The pink sheet trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Horizon Oil Limited is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  9.06  in Horizon Oil Limited on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.94  from holding Horizon Oil Limited or generate 43.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy69.48%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tullow Oil plc  vs.  Horizon Oil Limited

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tullow Oil plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tullow Oil plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Horizon Oil Limited 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Horizon Oil Limited are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Horizon Oil reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tullow Oil and Horizon Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tullow Oil position performs unexpectedly, Horizon Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Horizon Oil will offset losses from the drop in Horizon Oil's long position.
The idea behind Tullow Oil plc and Horizon Oil Limited pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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