Correlation Between Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Two Harbors Investment and ARMOUR Residential REIT, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Two Harbors with a short position of ARMOUR Residential. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential.

Diversification Opportunities for Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential

TwoARMOURDiversified AwayTwoARMOURDiversified Away100%
0.19
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Two and ARMOUR is 0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Two Harbors Investment and ARMOUR Residential REIT in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT and Two Harbors is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Two Harbors Investment are associated (or correlated) with ARMOUR Residential. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ARMOUR Residential REIT has no effect on the direction of Two Harbors i.e., Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Two Harbors Investment is expected to generate 0.94 times more return on investment than ARMOUR Residential. However, Two Harbors Investment is 1.07 times less risky than ARMOUR Residential. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ARMOUR Residential REIT is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,360  in Two Harbors Investment on November 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding Two Harbors Investment or generate 0.59% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Two Harbors Investment  vs.  ARMOUR Residential REIT

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -6-4-20
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15TWO-PB ARR-PC
       Timeline  
Two Harbors Investment 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Two Harbors Investment are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Two Harbors is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFebJanFeb22.52323.524
ARMOUR Residential REIT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ARMOUR Residential REIT has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFebJanFeb20.52121.52222.5

Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-2.85-2.14-1.42-0.70.00.721.432.152.87 0.10.20.30.40.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15TWO-PB ARR-PC
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential

The main advantage of trading using opposite Two Harbors and ARMOUR Residential positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Two Harbors position performs unexpectedly, ARMOUR Residential can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARMOUR Residential will offset losses from the drop in ARMOUR Residential's long position.
The idea behind Two Harbors Investment and ARMOUR Residential REIT pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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